Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fard vs Mes Kerman

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Hosseini M.
90' Event
Shourabadi A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Fard and Mes Kerman finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Kerman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fard
35%
Draws
24%
Mes Kerman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Fard and Mes Kerman close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Fard Clean Sheet 68%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fard Mes Kerman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 15 14
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.7 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Fard vs Mes Kerman
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Fard
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mes Kerman Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosseini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shourabadi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fard 41 / 100
Mes Kerman 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fard Mes Kerman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fard scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Mes Kerman has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fard VS Mes Kerman
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fard

(Home)
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
11 Jul
Fard
0 : 1
Mazandaran
03 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 2
Fard
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1
Saipa
21 Jun
Niroye Zamini
0 : 2
Fard
Page 1 of 6

Mes Kerman

(Away)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Mes Kerman
1 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)