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World

Club Friendly 2024

Havant & Waterlooville

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fareham play Havant & Waterlooville in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fareham averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Havant & Waterlooville averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Fareham won 0, Havant & Waterlooville won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 31, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Fareham and 2.31 for Havant & Waterlooville. This points to a Havant & Waterlooville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Fareham

17%

Draws

48%

Havant & Waterlooville

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Havant & Waterlooville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Fareham picked up more points recently compared to Havant & Waterlooville.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 2.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Fareham Clean Sheet 10%

Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fareham	Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played	14	34
Wins	4	16
Draws	2	6
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.07	1.91
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly

Fareham vs Havant & Waterlooville

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fareham 34 / 100

Havant & Waterlooville 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fareham Havant & Waterlooville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Havant & Waterlooville or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fareham attacking → ← attacking Havant & Waterlooville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fareham scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Havant & Waterlooville let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Fareham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Havant & Waterlooville lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 54

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38