Sport Picks
Farnborough vs Chesham
England
National League South Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough 
Match Events
86'
86'
Frost T.
AI Match Summary
Farnborough in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farnborough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Farnborough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chesham lately — more wins on the board than Farnborough.
- Farnborough are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 14%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Farnborough | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Chesham
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Chesham
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Farnborough
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Farnborough
2:1
Feb 4, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Chesham
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Farnborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Frost T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Chesham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Farnborough 48 / 100
Chesham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Farnborough Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Farnborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Farnborough found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Chesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Farnborough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Farnborough VS Chesham
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Farnborough
(Home) 15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
08 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 2 Farnborough
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1 Farnborough
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0 Bath City
29 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 1 Portsmouth
11 Jul
Farnborough
1 : 2 Reading
18 Apr
Farnborough
1 : 6 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 3
Chesham
(Away) 15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Chesham
28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1 Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Chesham
28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1 Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Red. | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 7 |
| 3 | Tonbridge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Horsham FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 6 | Torquay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 7 | Salisbury | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 11 | Truro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 13 | Maidenhead | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 14 | Billericay | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Dover Ath. | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Farnham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 18 | Braintree | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 19 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 20 | Ebbsfleet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Slough Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
