Sport Picks
Farnborough vs Chesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
86'
86'
Frost T.
AI Match Summary
Farnborough in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farnborough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Chesham at 2.14 per game, Farnborough at 1.59.
- Chesham are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%
Chesham Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Farnborough | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Chesham
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Chesham
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Farnborough
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Farnborough
2:1
Feb 4, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Chesham
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Farnborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Frost T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Chesham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Farnborough 10 / 100
Chesham 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Farnborough Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chesham conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Farnborough's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Farnborough stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Farnborough VS Chesham
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Farnborough
(Home) 26 Sept
Walton & Hersham
2 : 2 Farnborough
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2 Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2 Farnborough
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0 Farnborough
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2 Uxbridge
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Farnborough
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 3
Chesham
(Away) 03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3 Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Red. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:25 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:27 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:24 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
