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Farnham vs Salisbury - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Farnham host Salisbury in the National League South. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Farnham at 1.45 goals for, 1.24 against; Salisbury at 2.1 for, 1.1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.75, favoring Salisbury. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Farnham
30%
Draws
43%
Salisbury
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salisbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Farnham have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Salisbury are scoring more at 2.1.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Salisbury taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Farnham Clean Sheet 12%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnham Salisbury
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.45 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnham 10 / 100
Salisbury 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnham Salisbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salisbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farnham scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Salisbury let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Farnham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Farnham VS Salisbury
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnham

(Home)
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Farnham
1 : 2
Cirencester
19 Sept
Cirencester
2 : 2
Farnham
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
Page 1 of 6

Salisbury

(Away)
03 Oct
Salisbury
5 : 0
Dulwich Hamlet
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0
Folkestone
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1
Taunton Town
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Salisbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)