Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Farnham vs Truro

England England

National League South
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Farnham host Truro in the National League South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Truro have shipped 0.73 goals a game lately, while Farnham have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.45. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.44) point toward Farnham. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Farnham
35%
Draws
32%
Truro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Truro haven't matched Farnham's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Farnham Clean Sheet 16%
Truro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnham Truro
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnham 31 / 100
Truro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnham Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farnham's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Truro let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Farnham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Truro has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Farnham VS Truro
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnham

(Home)
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Farnham
1 : 2
Cirencester
19 Sept
Cirencester
2 : 2
Farnham
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
Page 1 of 6

Truro

(Away)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)