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World Championship 2026 Tórsvøllur

Croatia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Faroe Islands play Croatia in the World Championship 2026. Croatia are favorites here. Recently, Faroe Islands averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Croatia averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Faroe Islands won 0, Croatia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 14, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Faroe Islands and 1.25 for Croatia. This points to a Croatia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Faroe Islands

16%

Draws

56%

Croatia

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Faroe Islands picked up more points recently compared to Croatia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 19%

Croatia Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Faroe Islands	Croatia
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	9	17
Draws	4	5
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	0.89	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.11	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship

Croatia vs Faroe Islands

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Sep 5, 2025 World Championship

Faroe Islands vs Croatia

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Faroe Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kramaric A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Faroe Islands 29 / 100

Croatia 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Faroe Islands Croatia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Croatia & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Faroe Islands attacking → ← attacking Croatia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Faroe Islands scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Croatia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Faroe Islands went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Croatia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 56

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0