Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Faroe Islands vs North Macedonia

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Tórsvøllur, Torshavn
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Iljazovski A.
9' Event
Davidsen V.
(Penalty)
13'
Chukwudi S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Faroe Islands
30%
Draws
12%
North Macedonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Faroe Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • North Macedonia average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Faroe Islands's 1.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Faroe Islands taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors North Macedonia here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 68%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Faroe Islands North Macedonia
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands vs North Macedonia
1:1
Mar 27, 2023 Friendly International
North Macedonia vs Faroe Islands
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Faroe Islands 95 / 100
North Macedonia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Faroe Islands North Macedonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Faroe Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Faroe Islands scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Faroe Islands went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

North Macedonia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

North Macedonia has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Faroe Islands VS North Macedonia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Faroe Islands

(Home)
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Faroe Islands
1 : 0
Kazakhstan
Page 1 of 6

North Macedonia

(Away)
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3
Switzerland
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
29 May
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0 : 0
North Macedonia
31 Mar
Ireland
0 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Slovakia 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Estonia 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Kosovo 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
3 Cyprus 6 2 0 4 4:15 6
4 Lithuania 6 0 0 6 4:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bulgaria 6 2 3 1 3:6 9
3 Belarus 6 1 4 1 3:4 7
4 Luxembourg 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Macedonia 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Armenia 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Faroe Islands 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Latvia 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)