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Farroupilha vs Riograndense

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Wendell

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2024 game between Farroupilha and Riograndense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riograndense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Farroupilha
6%
Draws
90%
Riograndense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riograndense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riograndense come out ahead of Farroupilha on wins alone.
  • Model gives Riograndense a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
Riograndense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha Riograndense
Matches Played 12 14
Wins 3 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs Riograndense
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs Farroupilha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farroupilha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Riograndense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 10 / 100
Riograndense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha Riograndense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Farroupilha scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

Riograndense has conceded goals in 50% of their last 14 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Farroupilha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS Riograndense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense632111:811
2Real SC62317:59
3EC Guarani62316:49
4Apafut60243:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riograndense63218:411
2SC Sao Paulo62138:97
3SC Rio Grande61145:104
4Farroupilha63216:43