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Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Moraes Lemos R.
90' Event
Pedro Paz J.
90' Event
Wendell

AI Match Summary

Farroupilha in this Gaucho 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farroupilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Farroupilha
44%
Draws
20%
SC Rio Grande
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Rio Grande have won more games recently than Farroupilha.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
SC Rio Grande Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha SC Rio Grande
Matches Played 12 16
Wins 3 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs Farroupilha
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Paz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wendell
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SC Rio Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Moraes Lemos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 36 / 100
SC Rio Grande 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha SC Rio Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Rio Grande has conceded goals in 94% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SC Rio Grande lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Farroupilha's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS SC Rio Grande
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
27 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 0
Farroupilha
21 May
Farroupilha
0 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 3

SC Rio Grande

(Away)
30 Nov
EC Guarani
4 : 0
SC Rio Grande
23 Nov
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
EC Guarani
16 Nov
SC Rio Grande
2 : 1
Riograndense
09 Nov
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 0
SC Rio Grande
25 Oct
SC Rio Grande
3 : 1
Sao Gabriel
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense632111:811
2Real SC62317:59
3EC Guarani62316:49
4Apafut60243:102
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riograndense63218:411
2SC Sao Paulo62138:97
3SC Rio Grande61145:104
4Farroupilha63216:43
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2024 (Play Offs)