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Farroupilha vs SC Sao Paulo

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Vinicius
68'
Dyghana
86' Event
Sanhudo da Silva G. G.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2024 game between Farroupilha and SC Sao Paulo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Farroupilha
6%
Draws
90%
SC Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Sao Paulo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on SC Sao Paulo taking it.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 17%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha SC Sao Paulo
Matches Played 12 25
Wins 3 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Sao Paulo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

SC Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanhudo da Silva G. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 10 / 100
SC Sao Paulo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha SC Sao Paulo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sao Paulo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Farroupilha scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

Recent resilience: Farroupilha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS SC Sao Paulo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense632111:811
2Real SC62317:59
3EC Guarani62316:49
4Apafut60243:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riograndense63218:411
2SC Sao Paulo62138:97
3SC Rio Grande61145:104
4Farroupilha63216:43