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Farroupilha vs SC Sao Paulo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2023 game between Farroupilha and SC Sao Paulo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Farroupilha
15%
Draws
57%
SC Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Sao Paulo come out ahead of Farroupilha on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Sao Paulo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 16%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha SC Sao Paulo
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha
2:1
Oct 23, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Sao Paulo
1:1
Oct 21, 2023 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Sao Paulo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 10 / 100
SC Sao Paulo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha SC Sao Paulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sao Paulo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sao Paulo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Farroupilha scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Farroupilha has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS SC Sao Paulo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
30 Sept
Real SC
4 : 0
Farroupilha
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
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SC Sao Paulo

(Away)
07 Oct
Clube 1992
1 : 3
SC Sao Paulo
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
SC Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Sao Borja 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 4:2 10
3 Santo Angelo 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
4 Elite CD RS 6 1 2 3 3:7 -1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro RS 6 5 1 0 16:1 16
2 Futvida 6 4 0 2 14:5 12
3 Real SC 6 1 1 4 6:16 4
4 Riopardense RS 6 1 0 5 5:19 3
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Igrejinha 6 3 2 1 13:4 11
3 Novo Horizonte 6 1 1 4 3:14 4
4 Sapucaiense 6 1 0 5 6:17 3
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Riograndense 6 5 1 0 9:4 16
2 SC Sao Paulo 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 SC Rio Grande 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Farroupilha 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)