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Farsta vs Smedby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Stark W.
83' Event
Tenggren H.
90' Event
Gebremedhin N.

AI Match Summary

Farsta in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farsta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Farsta
30%
Draws
12%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Farsta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Smedby haven't matched Farsta's recent run of results.
  • Farsta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Farsta Clean Sheet 20%
Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farsta Smedby
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Smedby
3:0
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
1:0
May 29, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Smedby
2:1
Sep 2, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farsta Compare

Top Goalscorer Stark W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tenggren H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Smedby Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farsta 85 / 100
Smedby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farsta Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farsta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farsta's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Smedby let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Farsta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farsta VS Smedby
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farsta

(Home)
02 Oct
Farsta
2 : 1
Fittja IF
27 Sept
Sleipner
0 : 0
Farsta
19 Sept
Farsta
0 : 3
Karlslund
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
06 Sept
Forward
1 : 2
Farsta
Page 1 of 6

Smedby

(Away)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)