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Stadium Background

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Superliga Central Stadium Hagi Academy, Ovidiu
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ganea C.
Assist: Vina I.
22' Event
Ahlinvi M.
Assist: Radaslavescu E.
33' Event
Bran Flores A. J.
Assist: Santos Teixeira L.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Farul Constanta and Petrolul finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farul Constanta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Farul Constanta
20%
Draws
38%
Petrolul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Farul Constanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Petrolul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Farul Constanta here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Farul Constanta Clean Sheet 16%
Petrolul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farul Constanta Petrolul
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Superliga
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul
3:1
Mar 15, 2026 Superliga
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul
2:0
Jan 25, 2026 Superliga
Petrolul vs Farul Constanta
0:1
Sep 1, 2025 Superliga
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul
2:1
Apr 28, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs Farul Constanta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farul Constanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Ganea C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahlinvi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Petrolul Compare

Top Goalscorer Bran Flores A. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farul Constanta 30 / 100
Petrolul 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farul Constanta Petrolul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farul Constanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farul Constanta found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Petrolul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Farul Constanta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Farul Constanta VS Petrolul
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Farul Constanta

(Home)
25 Oct
Farul Constanta
4 : 3
Otelul
18 Oct
Univ. Craiova
2 : 0
Farul Constanta
11 Oct
Farul Constanta
3 : 1
Petrolul
26 Sept
Farul Constanta
2 : 1
Popesti Leordeni
20 Sept
Dinamo Bucuresti
4 : 0
Farul Constanta
Page 1 of 6

Petrolul

(Away)
31 Oct
Petrolul
1 : 1
CFR Cluj
27 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 6
Petrolul
23 Oct
FC Botosani
1 : 3
Petrolul
17 Oct
Petrolul
1 : 1
Sepsi
11 Oct
Farul Constanta
3 : 1
Petrolul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 14 10 3 1 31:9 33
2 Univ. Craiova 14 10 2 2 34:10 32
3 Rapid Bucuresti 14 9 3 2 23:13 30
4 Petrolul 14 7 3 4 19:18 24
5 Universitatea Cluj 13 7 1 5 25:20 22
6 FCSB 13 6 3 4 20:19 21
7 Farul Constanta 13 5 5 3 21:20 20
8 Corvinul Hunedoara 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
9 CFR Cluj 14 5 3 6 20:21 18
10 FC UTA Arad 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
11 Sepsi 14 3 6 5 9:19 15
12 FC Botosani 14 3 5 6 18:19 14
13 Otelul 14 2 6 6 16:22 12
14 Campionii Arges 14 3 3 8 8:16 12
15 Voluntari 13 2 2 9 13:29 8
16 Miercurea Ciuc 14 1 2 11 9:28 5
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)