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FAS vs Inca Aruba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Óscar Quiteño, Santa Ana
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Medrano E.
68' Event
Barahona J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FAS
35%
Draws
27%
Inca Aruba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Inca Aruba haven't matched FAS's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FAS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FAS Clean Sheet 20%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAS Inca Aruba
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 19 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.88 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Primera Division
FAS vs Inca Aruba
1:1
Aug 2, 2026 Primera Division
Inca Aruba vs FAS
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Inca Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Barahona J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAS 42 / 100
Inca Aruba 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAS Inca Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FAS scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: FAS stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Inca Aruba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FAS VS Inca Aruba
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FAS

(Home)
05 Oct
FAS
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
19 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
FAS
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
05 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
FAS
Page 1 of 7

Inca Aruba

(Away)
05 Oct
FAS
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
2 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
3 FAS 12 7 3 2 22:11 24
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Alianza FC 12 4 6 2 19:17 18
7 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
8 Platense Municipal 14 4 4 6 15:19 16
9 Inca Aruba 14 4 4 6 12:23 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 14 1 6 7 9:23 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)