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Fatima vs Fazendense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
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Match Events

6' Event
10' Event
20' Event

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Fatima and Fazendense finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fatima
15%
Draws
0%
Fazendense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fatima come out ahead of Fazendense on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Fatima taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fatima Clean Sheet 15%
Fazendense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatima Fazendense
Matches Played 33 17
Wins 12 3
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.42 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.12 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Fazendense
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 84 / 100
Fazendense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatima Fazendense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fazendense conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Fazendense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Fatima's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fatima VS Fazendense
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

(Home)
01 Nov
Fatima
6 : 1
Fazendense
25 Oct
Sertanense
2 : 2
Fatima
18 Oct
Fatima
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
11 Oct
Fatima
1 : 3
GD Os Nazarenos
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
Page 1 of 7

Fazendense

(Away)
01 Nov
Fatima
6 : 1
Fazendense
25 Oct
Fazendense
1 : 2
Os Marialvas
17 Oct
Fazendense
1 : 2
Estrela da Amadora
11 Oct
Malveira
3 : 1
Fazendense
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)