Sport Picks

Fatima vs SB Castelo Branco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Fatima

3 - 1

SB Castelo Branco

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Fatima

20%

Draws

33%

SB Castelo Branco

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to SB Castelo Branco lately — more wins on the board than Fatima.
47% — that's where the model lands on Fatima taking it.
SB Castelo Branco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Fatima, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Fatima Clean Sheet 68%

SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fatima	SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	12	17
Draws	10	4
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.42	1.58
Goals Conceded	1.12	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Fatima vs SB Castelo Branco

3:1

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Fatima vs SB Castelo Branco

4:1

Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

SB Castelo Branco vs Fatima

1:0

Jan 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Fatima vs SB Castelo Branco

1:0

Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

SB Castelo Branco vs Fatima

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 95 / 100

SB Castelo Branco 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fatima SB Castelo Branco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatima's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Fatima has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SB Castelo Branco has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fatima VS SB Castelo Branco

1.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

(Home)

01 Nov

Fatima

6 : 1

Fazendense

25 Oct

Sertanense

2 : 2

Fatima

18 Oct

Fatima

1 : 0

Academico Viseu

11 Oct

Fatima

1 : 3

GD Os Nazarenos

20 Sept

Fatima

4 : 1

Vinhais

Page 1 of 7

SB Castelo Branco

(Away)

01 Nov

Malveira

2 : 2

SB Castelo Branco

25 Oct

SB Castelo Branco

1 : 3

O Elvas CAD

11 Oct

Mortagua FC

0 : 1

SB Castelo Branco

13 Sept

SB Castelo Branco

2 : 3

Nogueirense

06 Sept

Alverca B

0 : 1

SB Castelo Branco

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

FC Porto -

TBD -

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Estoril -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Alverca -

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

TBD -

Nacional -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

1/64-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

FC Porto -

TBD -

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Camacha 0

Florgrade 1

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

TBD -

Alverca -

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

TBD -

Nacional -

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

1/32-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal 1

Uniao Da Serra 2

Atletico CP 1

Vizela 0

FC Alpendorada 0

Casa Pia 1

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 1

Penafiel 0

Leca 1

FC Porto -

TBD -

Paredes 1

Famalicao 0

GD Alcochetense 1

Maritimo 2

Chaves 2

Os Marialvas 1

Brito 0

Vitoria Sernache 1

Lusitania FC 2

AD Limianos 1

Santarem 2

Gil Vicente 3

Olhanense 2

Oliveira Hospital 1

ACDR Lamelas 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

TBD -

Braga -

SC Salgueiros 1

Estoril 2

FC Felgueiras 1

AD Fafe 0

Fazendense 1

Estrela da Amadora 2

Florgrade 1

Portimonense 2

Torreense -

TBD -

Benfica -

AFS 1

Moreirense 0

Tondela 2

Alverca 0

SC Vianense 1

Leixoes 0

Louletano 0

Rio Ave 1

Mafra 3

Santa Clara 2

CF Os Belenenses 3

Arouca 4

SC Farense 3

AD Marco 09 0

Fatima 1

Academico Viseu 0

Sanjoanense 1

Nacional 0

Academica 3

Amarante FC 2

1/16-finals

Sporting CP -

Uniao Da Serra -

Atletico CP -

Casa Pia -

Leiria -

Leca -

FC Porto -

Paredes -

Maritimo -

Chaves -

Vitoria Sernache -

Lusitania FC -

Gil Vicente -

Olhanense -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Braga -

Estoril -

FC Felgueiras -

Estrela da Amadora -

Portimonense -

Torreense -

Benfica -

AFS -

Tondela -

SC Vianense -

Rio Ave -

Mafra -

Arouca -

SC Farense -

Fatima -

Sanjoanense -

Academica -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Fatima vs SB Castelo Branco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Fatima

SB Castelo Branco

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

SB Castelo Branco

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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