Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Vinhais

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Taça de Portugal. This has Fatima written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Fatima at 1.21 goals for, 1.06 against; Vinhais at 0.44 for, 3.11 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.44 - 0.79) back Fatima to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Fatima

15%

Draws

Vinhais

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Vinhais haven't matched Fatima's recent run of results.
Fatima are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Fatima have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Fatima Clean Sheet 20%

Vinhais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fatima	Vinhais
Matches Played	33	9
Wins	13	0
Draws	9	0
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.21	0.44
Goals Conceded	1.06	3.11
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 85 / 100

Vinhais 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fatima Vinhais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinhais has conceded goals in 100% of their last 9 outings.

Difficult form: Vinhais registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Fatima's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Fatima went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatima VS Vinhais

0.88 Goals Scored 0.2

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 60%

25% Over 2.5 60%

25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

(Home)

13 Sept

Fatima

0 : 1

Oliveira Hospital

06 Sept

Os Marialvas

3 : 0

Fatima

29 Aug

Fatima

3 : 1

SB Castelo Branco

23 Aug

Fatima

5 : 0

Malveira

16 Aug

O Elvas CAD

1 : 1

Fatima

Page 1 of 7

Vinhais

(Away)

13 Sept

Vila Mea

4 : 0

Vinhais

06 Sept

Vinhais

1 : 2

Chaves B

23 Aug

Tirsense

3 : 0

Vinhais

16 Aug

Vinhais

0 : 1

Maria de Fonte

21 Sept

Anca

3 : 1

Vinhais

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

TBD -

1/64-finals

Atletico CP -

Lagoa -

Naval 1893 -

FC Felgueiras -

Sintrense -

AFS -

Mortagua FC -

Leca -

Oliveirense -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros -

Feirense -

Cinfaes -

Leixoes -

O Elvas CAD -

Leiria -

Real SC -

Academica -

Castro Daire -

Portimonense -

Sacavenense -

SC Farense -

Vila Pouca -

Brito -

Guarda FC -

Chaves -

Alcains -

Vitoria Setubal -

Bombarralense -

Vizela -

Fazendense -

Figueirense -

GD Alcochetense -

C.F. Benfica -

Oliveira Hospital -

Juv. Evora -

Beira Mar -

CF Os Belenenses -

AD Limianos -

Aljustrelense -

Serpa -

Louletano -

FC Alpendorada -

Macao -

Anca -

Sanjoanense -

Camacha -

Florgrade -

AD Fafe -

Lajense -

FC Madalena -

Lusitania FC -

Ponte da Barca -

Amarante FC -

ACDR Lamelas -

Santo Antonio -

Olhanense -

Portel -

Santarem -

Merelinense -

Vitoria Sernache -

Varzim -

AD Marco 09 -

Maia Lidador -

GD Braganca -

Celoricense -

Paredes -

Maria de Fonte -

Imortal -

Tondela -

Mafra -

Tirsense -

Fatima -

Vinhais -

UD Ovarense -

Os Marialvas -

Amora -

Uniao Da Serra -

Estrela Calheta -

SC Vianense -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Fatima vs Vinhais

Portugal

Fatima

Vinhais

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

Vinhais

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA