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Fatima vs Vinhais - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Oliveira L. J.
23' Event
Silva T.
38' Event
Oliveira L. J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fatima
15%
Draws
0%
Vinhais
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vinhais haven't matched Fatima's recent run of results.
  • Fatima are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Fatima have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fatima, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%
Vinhais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatima Vinhais
Matches Played 29 13
Wins 10 0
Draws 9 0
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.48 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.14 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Fatima vs Vinhais
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fatima Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira L. J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Vinhais Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardim K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 95 / 100
Vinhais 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatima Vinhais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinhais has conceded goals in 100% of their last 13 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Vinhais's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Fatima scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatima VS Vinhais
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

(Home)
01 Nov
Fatima
6 : 1
Fazendense
25 Oct
Sertanense
2 : 2
Fatima
18 Oct
Fatima
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
11 Oct
Fatima
1 : 3
GD Os Nazarenos
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
Page 1 of 6

Vinhais

(Away)
01 Nov
Ponte da Barca
2 : 1
Vinhais
25 Oct
Rebordosa
8 : 0
Vinhais
11 Oct
Vinhais
1 : 2
AD Limianos
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Amora -
TBD -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
TBD -
Lagoa -
Bombarralense -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
TBD -
Leiria -
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
TBD -
Leca -
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
TBD -
Chaves -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Vila Pouca -
TBD -
TBD -
Brito -
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
TBD -
Lusitania FC -
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Santarem -
TBD -
Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Olhanense -
TBD -
Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
TBD -
Lajense -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
TBD -
Figueirense -
TBD -
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Estrela da Amadora -
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Castro Daire -
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Portimonense -
Torreense -
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Benfica -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
TBD -
AFS -
TBD -
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TBD -
Moreirense -
Imortal -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Estrela Calheta -
TBD -
SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
TBD -
Tirsense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vinhais -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Anca -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
TBD -
Academica -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Amarante FC -
1/64-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcains 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Amora 3
Uniao Da Serra 4
Atletico CP 4
Lagoa 1
Bombarralense 0
Vizela 1
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
O Elvas CAD 0
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 6
Celoricense 1
Oliveirense 1
Penafiel 2
Mortagua FC 0
Leca 2
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paredes 5
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
GD Alcochetense 2
C.F. Benfica 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Guarda FC 2
Chaves 3
UD Ovarense 0
Os Marialvas 1
Vila Pouca 0
Brito 5
Vitoria Sernache 2
Varzim 1
FC Madalena 1
Lusitania FC 3
AD Limianos 3
Aljustrelense 0
Santarem 5
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Olhanense 1
Portel 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Juv. Evora 2
ACDR Lamelas 4
Santo Antonio 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
SC Salgueiros 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Naval 1893 0
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Fafe 4
Lajense 0
Fazendense 6
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Camacha 0
Florgrade 1
Castro Daire 0
Portimonense 1
Torreense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Sintrense 0
AFS 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
Imortal 1
Tondela 5
TBD -
Alverca -
Estrela Calheta 1
SC Vianense 3
Cinfaes 0
Leixoes 4
Serpa 1
Louletano 2
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Mafra 3
Tirsense 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Beira Mar 0
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Sacavenense 0
SC Farense 1
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 0
Fatima 4
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 4
TBD -
Nacional -
Real SC 1
Academica 4
Ponte da Barca 0
Amarante FC 2
1/32-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal 1
Uniao Da Serra 2
Atletico CP 1
Vizela 0
FC Alpendorada 0
Casa Pia 1
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 1
Penafiel 0
Leca 1
FC Porto -
TBD -
Paredes 1
Famalicao 0
GD Alcochetense 1
Maritimo 2
Chaves 2
Os Marialvas 1
Brito 0
Vitoria Sernache 1
Lusitania FC 2
AD Limianos 1
Santarem 2
Gil Vicente 3
Olhanense 2
Oliveira Hospital 1
ACDR Lamelas 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
TBD -
Braga -
SC Salgueiros 1
Estoril 2
FC Felgueiras 1
AD Fafe 0
Fazendense 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
Florgrade 1
Portimonense 2
Torreense -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
AFS 1
Moreirense 0
Tondela 2
Alverca 0
SC Vianense 1
Leixoes 0
Louletano 0
Rio Ave 1
Mafra 3
Santa Clara 2
CF Os Belenenses 3
Arouca 4
SC Farense 3
AD Marco 09 0
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 0
Sanjoanense 1
Nacional 0
Academica 3
Amarante FC 2
1/16-finals
Sporting CP -
Uniao Da Serra -
Atletico CP -
Casa Pia -
Leiria -
Leca -
FC Porto -
Paredes -
Maritimo -
Chaves -
Vitoria Sernache -
Lusitania FC -
Gil Vicente -
Olhanense -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Braga -
Estoril -
FC Felgueiras -
Estrela da Amadora -
Portimonense -
Torreense -
Benfica -
AFS -
Tondela -
SC Vianense -
Rio Ave -
Mafra -
Arouca -
SC Farense -
Fatima -
Sanjoanense -
Academica -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -