Sport Picks
FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa 
Match Events
24'
24'
Sub
Portillo M. In: Orzan H.
Out: Portillo M.
41'
41'
Vidales J.
Assist: Lazo M.
45'
45'
Cueva C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between FBC Melgar and Sport Boys finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FBC Melgar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- FBC Melgar haven't matched Sport Boys's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans FBC Melgar's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 18%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FBC Melgar | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys
1:1
Apr 15, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar
1:3
Oct 20, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Liga 1
FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys
2:1
Oct 18, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs FBC Melgar
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FBC Melgar Compare
Top Goalscorer Vidales J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sport Boys Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Campo N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FBC Melgar 58 / 100
Sport Boys 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FBC Melgar Sport Boys
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FBC Melgar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FBC Melgar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: FBC Melgar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Sport Boys lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FBC Melgar VS Sport Boys
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FBC Melgar
(Home) 20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1 FBC Melgar
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
09 Aug
FBC Melgar
2 : 4 FC Cajamarca
26 Jul
FBC Melgar
2 : 1 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
Sport Boys
(Away) 06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 Sport Boys
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1 Sport Boys
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
