Sport Picks

Peru

Copa Bicentenario 2019 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa

FBC Melgar

4 - 0

Sport Victoria

Our Tip

Match Events

Cuesta B.

Arias A.

79'

Sanchez J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FBC Melgar in this Copa Bicentenario 2019 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

FBC Melgar

Draws

Sport Victoria

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FBC Melgar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sport Victoria haven't matched FBC Melgar's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on FBC Melgar taking it.
FBC Melgar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FBC Melgar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

FBC Melgar Clean Sheet 68%

Sport Victoria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FBC Melgar	Sport Victoria
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	4
Draws	10	2
Losses	8	24
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2019 Copa Bicentenario

FBC Melgar vs Sport Victoria

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBC Melgar Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuesta B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Arias A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sport Victoria Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar 95 / 100

Sport Victoria 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FBC Melgar Sport Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBC Melgar scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Sport Victoria conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sport Victoria has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar

(Home)

18 Jul

Cienciano

1 : 3

FBC Melgar

29 Jun

FBC Melgar

0 : 0

Moquegua

18 Jun

LDU Quito

0 : 0

FBC Melgar

17 Jun

LDU Quito

1 : 1

FBC Melgar

12 Jun

Tacna Heroica

3 : 2

FBC Melgar

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Sport Victoria

(Away)

09 Nov

Sport Victoria

0 : 3

Atletico Grau

02 Nov

Comerciantes Unidos

3 : 0

Sport Victoria

26 Oct

Sport Victoria

0 : 3

Sport Loreto

19 Oct

Los Chankas

3 : 0

Sport Victoria

12 Oct

Sport Victoria

0 : 3

Cienciano

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