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FBC Melgar W vs A. Lima W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2026 game between FBC Melgar W and A. Lima W finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FBC Melgar W
15%
Draws
47%
A. Lima W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Lima W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A. Lima W come out ahead of FBC Melgar W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors A. Lima W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%
A. Lima W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W A. Lima W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.79 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga Women
A. Lima W vs FBC Melgar W
1:0
Jun 12, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs A. Lima W
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs A. Lima W
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Women
A. Lima W vs FBC Melgar W
6:0
Jul 27, 2024 Liga Women
A. Lima W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 30 / 100
A. Lima W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W A. Lima W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

FBC Melgar W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: FBC Melgar W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

A. Lima W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 37% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS A. Lima W
3.25 Goals Scored 3.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar W

(Home)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
18 Sept
FBC Melgar W
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci W
11 Sept
Atl. Andahuaylas W
1 : 5
FBC Melgar W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
30 Aug
UNSAAC W
1 : 3
FBC Melgar W
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A. Lima W

(Away)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
20 Sept
Sporting Cristal W
0 : 2
A. Lima W
06 Sept
A. Lima W
2 : 0
Atl. Andahuaylas W
30 Aug
Universitario de Deportes W
2 : 3
A. Lima W
23 Aug
A. Lima W
6 : 0
Carlos Mannucci W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Deportes W 10 9 1 0 55:4 28
2 Atl. Andahuaylas W 10 8 1 1 14:8 25
3 Sporting Cristal W 10 7 0 3 30:9 21
4 A. Lima W 10 6 2 2 26:7 20
5 Yanapuma W 10 5 1 4 15:21 16
6 FBC Melgar W 10 4 2 4 15:14 14
7 Flamengo FBC W 10 3 2 5 16:21 11
8 Defensores W 10 2 1 7 11:29 7
9 UNSAAC W 10 1 3 6 7:25 6
10 Killas W 10 1 2 7 14:26 5
11 Carlos Mannucci W 10 1 1 8 4:43 4
12 Biavo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)