Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Deportes W in this Liga Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Universitario de Deportes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FBC Melgar W
15%
Draws
42%
Universitario de Deportes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBC Melgar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Universitario de Deportes W lately — more wins on the board than FBC Melgar W.
  • Universitario de Deportes W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Women 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Universitario de Deportes W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W Universitario de Deportes W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 23
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.8 3.94
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W
2:0
May 2, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 10 / 100
Universitario de Deportes W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W Universitario de Deportes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBC Melgar W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FBC Melgar W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes W conceded in 44% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS Universitario de Deportes W
3.25 Goals Scored 4.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar W

(Home)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
18 Sept
FBC Melgar W
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci W
11 Sept
Atl. Andahuaylas W
1 : 5
FBC Melgar W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
30 Aug
UNSAAC W
1 : 3
FBC Melgar W
Page 1 of 6

Universitario de Deportes W

(Away)
26 Sept
UNSAAC W
2 : 5
Universitario de Deportes W
19 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
4 : 0
Killas W
13 Sept
Universitario de Deportes W
5 : 0
Flamengo FBC W
05 Sept
Yanapuma W
3 : 9
Universitario de Deportes W
30 Aug
Universitario de Deportes W
2 : 3
A. Lima W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Deportes W 10 9 1 0 55:4 28
2 Atl. Andahuaylas W 10 8 1 1 14:8 25
3 Sporting Cristal W 10 7 0 3 30:9 21
4 A. Lima W 10 6 2 2 26:7 20
5 Yanapuma W 10 5 1 4 15:21 16
6 FBC Melgar W 10 4 2 4 15:14 14
7 Flamengo FBC W 10 3 2 5 16:21 11
8 Defensores W 10 2 1 7 11:29 7
9 UNSAAC W 10 1 3 6 7:25 6
10 Killas W 10 1 2 7 14:26 5
11 Carlos Mannucci W 10 1 1 8 4:43 4
12 Biavo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)