Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Deportes W in this Liga Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Universitario de Deportes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FBC Melgar W
6%
Draws
90%
Universitario de Deportes W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Universitario de Deportes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Universitario de Deportes W lately — more wins on the board than FBC Melgar W.
  • Universitario de Deportes W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Women 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Universitario de Deportes W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W Universitario de Deportes W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.38 4
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Universitario de Deportes W
0:2
May 25, 2025 Liga Women
Universitario de Deportes W vs FBC Melgar W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 10 / 100
Universitario de Deportes W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W Universitario de Deportes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBC Melgar W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FBC Melgar W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Deportes W conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS Universitario de Deportes W
1.38 Goals Scored 4
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar W

(Home)
20 Jun
Sporting Cristal W
8 : 1
FBC Melgar W
12 Jun
FBC Melgar W
0 : 0
A. Lima W
30 May
Carlos Mannucci W
1 : 1
FBC Melgar W
25 May
FBC Melgar W
1 : 2
Atl. Andahuaylas W
21 May
Killas W
0 : 2
FBC Melgar W
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Universitario de Deportes W

(Away)
18 Jul
Universitario de Deportes W
3 : 1
Sporting Cristal W
12 Jul
Sporting Cristal W
2 : 2
Universitario de Deportes W
04 Jul
Universitario de Deportes W
3 : 0
A. Lima W
27 Jun
A. Lima W
1 : 0
Universitario de Deportes W
13 Jun
Universitario de Deportes W
5 : 0
UNSAAC W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Deportes W1091055:428
2Atl. Andahuaylas W1081114:825
3Sporting Cristal W1070330:921
4A. Lima W1062226:720
5Yanapuma W1051415:2116
6FBC Melgar W1042415:1414
7Flamengo FBC W1032516:2111
8Defensores W1021711:297
9UNSAAC W101367:256
10Killas W1012714:265
11Carlos Mannucci W101184:434
12Biavo W00000:00
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)