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FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska FF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Bertilsson A. In: Parleholt A.
Out: Bertilsson A.
46'
Sub
Qassem M. In: Steen L.
Out: Qassem M.
63'
Hoiby J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FBK Karlstad and Assyriska FF finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Assyriska FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
FBK Karlstad
30%
Draws
18%
Assyriska FF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FBK Karlstad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on FBK Karlstad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Assyriska FF have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 15%
Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Assyriska FF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska FF
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad
2:3
Jun 8, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska FF
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Assyriska FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalabane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 84 / 100
Assyriska FF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Assyriska FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Karlstad's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FBK Karlstad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Assyriska FF conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Assyriska FF
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

Assyriska FF

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 0
Assyriska FF
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 1
Assyriska FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)