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FBK Karlstad vs Karlbergs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad host Karlbergs in the Division 1 - Norra. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FBK Karlstad have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Karlbergs's 1.39 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, FBK Karlstad have won 1 to Karlbergs's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.75 - 0.88) back FBK Karlstad to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FBK Karlstad
35%
Draws
28%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Karlbergs have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — FBK Karlstad are scoring more at 1.64.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on FBK Karlstad taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 20%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Karlbergs
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FBK Karlstad
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FBK Karlstad
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Karlbergs
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 85 / 100
Karlbergs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBK Karlstad scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: FBK Karlstad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Karlbergs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Karlbergs
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

Karlbergs

(Away)
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)