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FBK Kaunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016 S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Giedraitis P.
9' Event
Rukuiza K.
14' Event
Lipnevicius R.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2016 game between FBK Kaunas and Nevezis Kedainiai finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nevezis Kedainiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
FBK Kaunas
11%
Draws
80%
Nevezis Kedainiai
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nevezis Kedainiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nevezis Kedainiai come out ahead of FBK Kaunas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nevezis Kedainiai's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FBK Kaunas Clean Sheet 20%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Kaunas Nevezis Kedainiai
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2016 I Lyga
FBK Kaunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:4
Jun 28, 2016 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FBK Kaunas
7:1
Oct 31, 2015 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FBK Kaunas
2:1
Jul 2, 2015 I Lyga
FBK Kaunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
4:3
Sep 25, 2010 I Lyga
FBK Kaunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Kaunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Giedraitis P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turauskas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Gegzna A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rukuiza K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Kaunas 12 / 100
Nevezis Kedainiai 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Kaunas Nevezis Kedainiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nevezis Kedainiai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Away concern: Nevezis Kedainiai has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

FBK Kaunas's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nevezis Kedainiai
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Kaunas

(Home)
23 Oct
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 0
FBK Kaunas
15 Oct
FBK Kaunas
2 : 7
Banga
09 Oct
FK Panevezys
7 : 0
FBK Kaunas
05 Oct
FBK Kaunas
0 : 8
FC Hegelmann
24 Sept
FK Minija
1 : 2
FBK Kaunas
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Nevezis Kedainiai

(Away)
09 Nov
Nevezis Kedainiai
4 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Nevezis Kedainiai
24 Oct
Nevezis Kedainiai
0 : 2
Ekranas
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2
Nevezis Kedainiai
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marijampole City30233495:2572
2Palanga30217296:2970
3Vilniaus Vytis301938102:3460
4Nevezis Kedainiai30179476:3860
5FK Panevezys30178568:3559
6Banga30157862:3152
7Dziugas Telsiai301531251:4448
8Zalgiris 2301431362:6145
9Dainava Alytus301341357:4643
10FC Hegelmann301331455:5642
11Riteriai 230931844:5930
12Silute30861638:6030
13FK Krazante Kelme30841847:8628
14Lokomotyvas Radviliskis30651942:8623
15FBK Kaunas30412525:13413
16FK Minija30312627:12310
Promotion - A Lyga 2017 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2016 (Relegation)