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FC 08 Homburg vs Bahlinger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mendler M.
44' Event
Jorg N.
55' Event
Schumann F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between FC 08 Homburg and Bahlinger finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC 08 Homburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC 08 Homburg
35%
Draws
32%
Bahlinger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FC 08 Homburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC 08 Homburg a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 16%
Bahlinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC 08 Homburg Bahlinger
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
FC 08 Homburg vs Bahlinger
3:2
Dec 6, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Bahlinger vs FC 08 Homburg
0:2
Aug 20, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Bahlinger
6:0
May 10, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Bahlinger
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Bahlinger vs FC 08 Homburg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendler M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jorg N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bahlinger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC 08 Homburg 41 / 100
Bahlinger 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC 08 Homburg Bahlinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC 08 Homburg's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bahlinger let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: FC 08 Homburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC 08 Homburg VS Bahlinger
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC 08 Homburg

(Home)
03 Oct
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
26 Sept
TSV Steinbach Haiger
1 : 0
FC 08 Homburg
19 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 2
Kassel
12 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
09 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
Page 1 of 7

Bahlinger

(Away)
03 Oct
Backnang
3 : 1
Bahlinger
26 Sept
Bahlinger
2 : 0
FC Normannia Gmund
19 Sept
Reutlingen
1 : 1
Bahlinger
12 Sept
Bahlinger
3 : 3
FC 08 Villingen
09 Sept
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Bahlinger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 86:43 68
2 Freiberg 34 18 8 8 68:38 62
3 FSV Frankfurt 34 16 9 9 64:48 57
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 15 11 8 71:42 56
5 TSV Steinbach Haiger 34 16 8 10 78:58 56
6 Kassel 34 15 9 10 62:51 54
7 Stutt. Kickers 34 17 3 14 51:44 54
8 Sandhausen 34 16 6 12 53:56 54
9 Mainz II 34 14 11 9 52:45 53
10 Fulda-Lehnerz 34 13 10 11 51:44 49
11 Freiburg II 34 14 6 14 74:73 48
12 Astoria Walldorf 34 13 8 13 64:65 47
13 Eintracht Trier 34 13 8 13 48:52 47
14 Kickers Offenbach 34 11 10 13 57:58 43
15 Alzenau 34 7 6 21 45:74 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 7 4 23 40:83 25
17 Balingen 34 6 7 21 38:87 25
18 Bahlinger 34 4 10 20 34:75 22
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)