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Stadium Background

FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sausen T.
54' Event
Goncalves M.
90' Event
Held J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between FC 08 Homburg and Eintracht Trier finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eintracht Trier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
FC 08 Homburg
28%
Draws
50%
Eintracht Trier
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Eintracht Trier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FC 08 Homburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Eintracht Trier taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Eintracht Trier here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 12%
Eintracht Trier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC 08 Homburg Eintracht Trier
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier
1:2
Oct 17, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Eintracht Trier
0:1
Jul 26, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg
4:1
May 12, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Eintracht Trier Compare

Top Goalscorer Sausen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Held J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC 08 Homburg 22 / 100
Eintracht Trier 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC 08 Homburg Eintracht Trier

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC 08 Homburg found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Eintracht Trier let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: FC 08 Homburg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC 08 Homburg VS Eintracht Trier
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522