Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
FC Aeti Sokhumi in this Pirveli Liga 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Aeti Sokhumi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Samgurali lately — more wins on the board than FC Aeti Sokhumi.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Samgurali taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Samgurali have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Aeti Sokhumi Clean Sheet 19%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Aeti Sokhumi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 4 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 23 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 25, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Aeti Sokhumi vs Samgurali
1:2
Apr 19, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Aeti Sokhumi
2:0
Nov 18, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Aeti Sokhumi vs Samgurali
2:1
Sep 19, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Aeti Sokhumi
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Aeti Sokhumi 10 / 100
Samgurali 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Aeti Sokhumi Samgurali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Samgurali conceded in 62% of 39 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
FC Aeti Sokhumi scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Samgurali
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Aeti Sokhumi
(Home) 25 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
1 : 2 Samgurali
19 May
Samtredia
1 : 0 FC Aeti Sokhumi
11 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1 Skuri Tsalenjikha
07 May
Khobi
2 : 0 FC Aeti Sokhumi
03 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1 Zooveti Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6
25 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
1 : 2 Samgurali
11 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1 Skuri Tsalenjikha
03 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1 Zooveti Tbilisi
14 Apr
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1 Samtredia
02 Apr
FC Aeti Sokhumi
1 : 1 Khobi
Page 1 of 3
Samgurali
(Away) 09 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2 Samgurali
01 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3 Samgurali
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1 Samgurali
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0 Samgurali
Page 1 of 8
09 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2 Samgurali
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3 Samgurali
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1 Samgurali
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0 Samgurali
18 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
5 : 3 Samgurali
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 28:9 | 42 |
| 2 | FC Ozurgeti | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 38 |
| 3 | Chiatura | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:16 | 37 |
| 4 | Chkherimela | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 5 | STU Tbilisi | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 39:42 | 26 |
| 6 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 20 |
| 7 | Khobi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 8 | Meskheti | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19:25 | 17 |
| 9 | Samtredia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15:30 | 14 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Umaglesi Liga 2011/2012 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chikhura Sachkhere | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 40:6 | 49 |
| 2 | Guria | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 41:15 | 39 |
| 3 | Khoni | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 31:25 | 29 |
| 4 | Skuri Tsalenjikha | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:26 | 27 |
| 5 | Zooveti Tbilisi | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:29 | 27 |
| 6 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 30:24 | 26 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27:23 | 23 |
| 8 | Adeli Batumi | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 19:36 | 13 |
| 9 | Sulori Vani | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 11:35 | 12 |
| 10 | FC Aeti Sokhumi | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13:41 | 11 |
Promotion - Umaglesi Liga 2011/2012 (Relegation Group)
