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FC Aeti Sokhumi vs Samgurali

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pirveli Liga 2011/2012 game between FC Aeti Sokhumi and Samgurali finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samgurali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Aeti Sokhumi
15%
Draws
85%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samgurali come out ahead of FC Aeti Sokhumi on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Pirveli Liga 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samgurali here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Aeti Sokhumi Clean Sheet 19%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Aeti Sokhumi Samgurali
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Aeti Sokhumi vs Samgurali
1:2
Apr 19, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Aeti Sokhumi
2:0
Nov 18, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Aeti Sokhumi vs Samgurali
2:1
Sep 19, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samgurali vs FC Aeti Sokhumi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Aeti Sokhumi 32 / 100
Samgurali 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Aeti Sokhumi Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Samgurali's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Aeti Sokhumi's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Samgurali
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Aeti Sokhumi

(Home)
25 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
1 : 2
Samgurali
19 May
Samtredia
1 : 0
FC Aeti Sokhumi
11 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1
Skuri Tsalenjikha
07 May
Khobi
2 : 0
FC Aeti Sokhumi
03 May
FC Aeti Sokhumi
0 : 1
Zooveti Tbilisi
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Samgurali

(Away)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
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