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FC Affing vs Gersthofen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013 game between FC Affing and Gersthofen finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Affing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Affing
15%
Draws
51%
Gersthofen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gersthofen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gersthofen come out ahead of FC Affing on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on FC Affing taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Affing Clean Sheet 18%
Gersthofen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Affing Gersthofen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2013 Oberliga Bayern Süd
FC Affing vs Gersthofen
4:0
Aug 5, 2012 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Gersthofen vs FC Affing
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Affing 85 / 100
Gersthofen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Affing Gersthofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Affing Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Affing's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Gersthofen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Gersthofen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Affing VS Gersthofen
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Affing

(Home)
07 Jun
FC Affing
0 : 1
Vilzing
04 Jun
Vilzing
2 : 2
FC Affing
31 May
FC Affing
2 : 1
Nordlingen
28 May
Nordlingen
3 : 2
FC Affing
24 May
FC Affing
0 : 1
Unterfohring
Page 1 of 7

Gersthofen

(Away)
12 Jul
Gersthofen
0 : 9
Augsburg
18 May
Gersthofen
2 : 0
Hankofen-Hailing
12 May
Gersthofen
0 : 2
Regensburg II
04 May
Gersthofen
1 : 0
Unterhaching II
01 May
DJK Rosenheim
6 : 0
Gersthofen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalding 36 24 6 6 58:26 78
2 Burghausen II 36 21 4 11 65:35 67
3 Aichach 36 18 6 12 71:40 60
4 Landshut 36 16 9 11 60:54 57
5 Regensburg II 36 15 9 12 56:46 54
6 Unterhaching II 36 16 6 14 55:60 54
7 Unterfohring 36 13 14 9 57:50 53
8 Sonthofen 36 14 9 13 53:53 51
9 Vfb Eichstatt 36 14 8 14 40:40 50
10 Hankofen-Hailing 36 14 7 15 46:54 49
11 FC Affing 36 14 6 16 62:65 48
12 DJK Rosenheim 36 13 8 15 50:48 47
13 Wolfratshausen 36 12 10 14 50:50 46
14 TSV Schwabmunchen 36 12 10 14 37:39 46
15 TSV Aindling 36 12 5 19 42:63 41
16 Deggendorf 36 10 9 17 39:55 39
17 Gersthofen 36 10 8 18 43:72 38
18 Kottern-St. Mang 36 9 9 18 46:61 36
19 SC Furstenfeldbruck 36 8 11 17 36:55 35
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2012/2013 (Relegation)