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FC Affing vs Nordlingen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with FC Affing advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FC Affing
20%
Draws
16%
Nordlingen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Affing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nordlingen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Affing a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Nordlingen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Affing, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Affing Clean Sheet 20%
Nordlingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Affing Nordlingen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Nord
FC Affing vs Nordlingen
2:1
May 28, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Nordlingen vs FC Affing
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Affing 67 / 100
Nordlingen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Affing Nordlingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Affing Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Affing found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Nordlingen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Nordlingen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nordlingen
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Affing

(Home)
07 Jun
FC Affing
0 : 1
Vilzing
04 Jun
Vilzing
2 : 2
FC Affing
31 May
FC Affing
2 : 1
Nordlingen
28 May
Nordlingen
3 : 2
FC Affing
24 May
FC Affing
0 : 1
Unterfohring
Page 1 of 6

Nordlingen

(Away)
02 Oct
TSV Kornburg
5 : 0
Nordlingen
26 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
20 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
3 : 1
Nordlingen
12 Sept
Nordlingen
0 : 1
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 1
Nordlingen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Kahl 4
Selbitz 1
Alemannia Haibach 5
Stadeln 2
Nordlingen 4
FC Affing 4
TBD -
Vilzing -
Holzkirchen 2
Ismaning 1
TBD -
Wolfratshausen -
Final
Kahl 2
Alemannia Haibach 3
FC Affing 2
Vilzing 3
Holzkirchen 1
Wolfratshausen 2