Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Alliance vs Nomme Utd

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Demidov E.
25'
Sub
Riisenberg M. In: Tiigiste R.
Out: Riisenberg M.
27'
Kardava R.

AI Match Summary

Nomme Utd in this Esiliiga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nomme Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Alliance
15%
Draws
51%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nomme Utd have won more games recently than FC Alliance.
  • Model gives Nomme Utd a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nomme Utd have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 18%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alliance Nomme Utd
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 1.23 2.09
Goals Conceded 3.43 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd vs FC Alliance
3:0
Sep 2, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Nomme Utd
1:3
Jun 29, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Nomme Utd
0:6
Mar 19, 2023 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd vs FC Alliance
4:2
Feb 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Nomme Utd vs FC Alliance
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alliance Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Demidov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Svedovski A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alliance 20 / 100
Nomme Utd 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alliance Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

FC Alliance scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Nomme Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nomme Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alliance

(Home)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

Nomme Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)