Sport Picks
FC Alliance vs Paide Linnameeskond U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga 2023 
Match Events
5'
5'
Mitsuk G.
Own Goal
14'
14'
Nkwinga V.
16'
16'
Kelement M.
AI Match Summary
Paide Linnameeskond U21 in this Esiliiga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paide Linnameeskond U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Paide Linnameeskond U21 have won more games recently than FC Alliance.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Paide Linnameeskond U21 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 16%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Alliance | Paide Linnameeskond U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 24 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.43 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2023 Esiliiga
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs FC Alliance
1:3
Aug 5, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
2:5
May 14, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
1:7
Mar 4, 2023 Esiliiga
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs FC Alliance
2:3
Jan 29, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Alliance vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Alliance Compare
Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nkwinga V.
3 Goals Assists Leader Cham B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Alliance 10 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Alliance Paide Linnameeskond U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paide Linnameeskond U21 let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.
FC Alliance scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: FC Alliance stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Paide Linnameeskond U21
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Alliance
(Home) 12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0 FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2 FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0 Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4 Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0 FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0 Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4 Legion
08 Oct
FC Alliance
1 : 3 Viimsi JK
28 Sept
FC Alliance
1 : 5 FC Tallinn
23 Sept
FC Alliance
4 : 2 Tabasalu
Page 1 of 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
(Away) 21 Feb
Paide Linnameeskond U21
0 : 1 Valmiera
22 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
3 : 2 Tulevik
15 Nov
Tulevik
5 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond U21
09 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
2 : 0 Johvi Phoenix
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond U21
Page 1 of 7
15 Nov
Tulevik
5 : 1 Paide Linnameeskond U21
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond U21
05 Oct
Tabasalu
0 : 0 Paide Linnameeskond U21
23 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 0 Paide Linnameeskond U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nomme Utd | 36 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 114:29 | 90 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 67:35 | 71 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 36 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 86:53 | 69 |
| 4 | Levadia U21 | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57:46 | 57 |
| 5 | Tabasalu | 36 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 81:70 | 55 |
| 6 | FC Tallinn | 36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 72:65 | 52 |
| 7 | Paide Linnameeskond U21 | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 66:82 | 41 |
| 8 | Elva | 36 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 45:75 | 40 |
| 9 | Legion | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 37:97 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Alliance | 36 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 50:123 | 20 |
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)
