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FC Alliance vs Vandra Vaprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Esiliiga B 2021
FC Alliance Logo

FC Alliance

2 - 3
FT
Vandra Vaprus Logo

Vandra Vaprus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vandra Vaprus in this Esiliiga B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vandra Vaprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Alliance
20%
Draws
40%
Vandra Vaprus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FC Alliance haven't matched Vandra Vaprus's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FC Alliance taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 10%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alliance Vandra Vaprus
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.57
Goals Conceded 3.3 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2021 Esiliiga B
FC Alliance vs Vandra Vaprus
2:3
Jul 28, 2021 Esiliiga B
FC Alliance vs Vandra Vaprus
3:2
May 27, 2021 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs FC Alliance
1:1
Nov 3, 2018 Esiliiga B
FC Alliance vs Vandra Vaprus
5:0
Aug 25, 2018 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs FC Alliance
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alliance 40 / 100
Vandra Vaprus 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alliance Vandra Vaprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vandra Vaprus let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

FC Alliance found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Away concern: Vandra Vaprus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Alliance VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alliance

(Home)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 7

Vandra Vaprus

(Away)
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1
Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4
Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viimsi JK 27 17 7 3 71:24 58
2 Harju JK Laagri 27 16 3 8 69:43 51
3 FC Tallinn 27 14 2 11 59:49 44
4 FC Alliance 27 13 2 12 53:64 41
5 Tabasalu 27 12 4 11 58:51 40
6 Tallinna Kalev U21 27 12 3 12 63:58 39
7 Legion U21 27 12 0 15 63:74 36
8 Kalju U21 27 9 2 16 52:62 29
9 Vandra Vaprus 27 8 3 16 39:67 27
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 27 8 2 17 56:91 26
Promotion - Esiliiga B 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2021 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Esiliiga B 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2021 (Relegation Group)