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FC Alliance vs Viimsi JK

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Toomet J.
32'
Ojamets A.
32'
Kardava R.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2023 game between FC Alliance and Viimsi JK finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viimsi JK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Alliance
15%
Draws
51%
Viimsi JK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viimsi JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Viimsi JK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Viimsi JK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Viimsi JK here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 18%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alliance Viimsi JK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 1.23 2.09
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Viimsi JK
1:3
Aug 26, 2023 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs FC Alliance
1:0
May 20, 2023 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs FC Alliance
3:1
Mar 12, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Viimsi JK
2:6
Nov 5, 2022 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Viimsi JK
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Kardava R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Viimsi JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmets G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Toomet J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alliance 10 / 100
Viimsi JK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alliance Viimsi JK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viimsi JK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Alliance scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Viimsi JK let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Viimsi JK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Viimsi JK
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alliance

(Home)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

Viimsi JK

(Away)
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3
Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)