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FC Alpendorada vs Beira Mar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
FC Alpendorada Logo

FC Alpendorada

0 - 1
FT
Beira Mar Logo

Beira Mar

Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Sancho F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beira Mar in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FC Alpendorada
20%
Draws
36%
Beira Mar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Alpendorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • FC Alpendorada average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Beira Mar's 1.28.
  • Win probability leans FC Alpendorada's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Beira Mar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 68%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alpendorada Beira Mar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Beira Mar
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs FC Alpendorada
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Beira Mar
1:2
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs FC Alpendorada
2:0
Jan 29, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs FC Alpendorada
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alpendorada Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sancho F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alpendorada 59 / 100
Beira Mar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alpendorada Beira Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Alpendorada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alpendorada scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Beira Mar let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Alpendorada remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Alpendorada VS Beira Mar
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alpendorada

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Alpendorada
3 : 0
Macao
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
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Beira Mar

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)