Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Alpendorada vs Camacha

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B Municipal Stadium Alpendorada, Alpendorada
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Carvalho P.
41' Event
Santos Almeida R. C.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Santos Almeida R. C.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between FC Alpendorada and Camacha finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Camacha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Alpendorada
20%
Draws
52%
Camacha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Alpendorada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Camacha taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 15%
Camacha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alpendorada Camacha
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Camacha
1:2
Feb 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Camacha
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs FC Alpendorada
0:0
Feb 26, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs FC Alpendorada
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Camacha
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alpendorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos Almeida R. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alpendorada 27 / 100
Camacha 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alpendorada Camacha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alpendorada scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Camacha conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

FC Alpendorada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Alpendorada VS Camacha
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alpendorada

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
16 Aug
Guarda FC
0 : 1
FC Alpendorada
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Camacha

(Away)
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
16 Aug
Camacha
1 : 1
SC Salgueiros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
7 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Cinfaes 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Castro Daire 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
13 Estrela Calheta 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)