Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga B 2015

FC Ararat

1 - 4

FC Alliance

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2015 game between FC Ararat and FC Alliance finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Alliance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

FC Ararat

11%

Draws

FC Alliance

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

FC Alliance have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — FC Ararat are scoring more at 1.5.
Model gives FC Ararat a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Esiliiga B 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 92%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

FC Alliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Ararat	FC Alliance
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	6
Draws	4	2
Losses	20	24
Goals Scored	1.5	1.38
Goals Conceded	5.5	3.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.50	3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2015 Esiliiga B

FC Ararat vs FC Alliance

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

1:4

Aug 2, 2015 Esiliiga B

FC Alliance vs FC Ararat

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Jun 7, 2015 Esiliiga B

FC Alliance vs FC Ararat

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Apr 5, 2015 Esiliiga B

FC Ararat vs FC Alliance

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:6

Sep 28, 2014 Esiliiga B

FC Ararat vs FC Alliance

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat 74 / 100

FC Alliance 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Ararat FC Alliance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Alliance conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FC Ararat scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: FC Ararat remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ararat VS FC Alliance

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

5.5 Goals Conceded 3.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 88%

100% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maardu Linnameeskond	36	26	3	7	92:38	81
2	FC Alliance	36	20	10	6	66:29	70
3	Sillamae Kalev II	36	19	6	11	73:57	63
4	Raasiku Joker	36	14	11	11	66:57	53
5	Elva	36	15	7	14	62:45	52
6	Tallinna Kalev U21	36	14	8	14	60:55	50
7	Viimsi JK	36	13	7	16	56:64	46
8	Puuma	36	13	6	17	60:89	45
9	FC Ararat	36	6	8	22	51:114	26
10	Flora U19	36	4	6	26	43:81	18