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FC Ararat vs Puuma

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2015
FC Ararat Logo

FC Ararat

1 - 2
FT
Puuma Logo

Puuma

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Puuma in this Esiliiga B 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Ararat
15%
Draws
34%
Puuma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Puuma have won more games recently than FC Ararat.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
Puuma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ararat Puuma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 3.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Puuma
1:2
Aug 18, 2015 Esiliiga B
Puuma vs FC Ararat
3:1
Jul 5, 2015 Esiliiga B
Puuma vs FC Ararat
1:1
Mar 12, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Puuma
0:2
Jan 25, 2014 Club Friendly
Puuma vs FC Ararat
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat 29 / 100
Puuma 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ararat Puuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ararat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puuma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Ararat scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Ararat went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ararat VS Puuma
1.63 Goals Scored 1.43
4.63 Goals Conceded 2.57
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 86%
88% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ararat

(Home)
28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0
FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3
FC Ararat
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3
Vastseliina Tannem
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
:
FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6
FC Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Puuma

(Away)
21 Nov
Puuma
2 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
15 Nov
Tartu JK Welco
5 : 0
Puuma
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Puuma
31 Oct
Puuma
2 : 3
Sillamae Kalev II
25 Oct
Puuma
1 : 4
Raasiku Joker
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 26 3 7 92:38 81
2 FC Alliance 36 20 10 6 66:29 70
3 Sillamae Kalev II 36 19 6 11 73:57 63
4 Raasiku Joker 36 14 11 11 66:57 53
5 Elva 36 15 7 14 62:45 52
6 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 14 8 14 60:55 50
7 Viimsi JK 36 13 7 16 56:64 46
8 Puuma 36 13 6 17 60:89 45
9 FC Ararat 36 6 8 22 51:114 26
10 Flora U19 36 4 6 26 43:81 18
Promotion - Esiliiga 2016 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2015 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2015 (Relegation)