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FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2014
FC Ararat Logo

FC Ararat

1 - 5
FT
Sillamae Kalev II Logo

Sillamae Kalev II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2014 game between FC Ararat and Sillamae Kalev II finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sillamae Kalev II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Ararat
30%
Draws
28%
Sillamae Kalev II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sillamae Kalev II come out ahead of FC Ararat on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
Sillamae Kalev II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ararat Sillamae Kalev II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.53 1.34
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2015 Esiliiga B
Sillamae Kalev II vs FC Ararat
9:3
Aug 13, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
3:2
May 17, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
2:1
May 3, 2015 Esiliiga B
Sillamae Kalev II vs FC Ararat
2:2
Sep 17, 2014 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat 30 / 100
Sillamae Kalev II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ararat Sillamae Kalev II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sillamae Kalev II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sillamae Kalev II let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

FC Ararat's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FC Ararat has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Ararat VS Sillamae Kalev II
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
3.17 Goals Conceded 3
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ararat

(Home)
28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0
FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3
FC Ararat
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3
Vastseliina Tannem
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
:
FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6
FC Ararat
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Sillamae Kalev II

(Away)
05 Nov
Viimsi JK
0 : 0
Sillamae Kalev II
29 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
1 : 1
FC Alliance
18 Oct
Raasiku Joker
0 : 4
Sillamae Kalev II
15 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
1 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
01 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
3 : 3
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCI Tallinn II 36 31 4 1 124:34 97
2 Santos Tartu 36 32 0 4 161:27 96
3 Viimsi JK 36 18 5 13 71:81 59
4 Sillamae Kalev II 36 17 4 15 74:64 55
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 16 2 18 70:85 50
6 Elva 36 12 5 19 45:79 41
7 FC Alliance 36 11 4 21 53:77 37
8 FC Ararat 36 9 5 22 55:80 32
9 Legion 36 7 6 23 53:111 27
10 Flora U19 36 8 3 25 44:112 27
Promotion - Esiliiga 2015 (Main)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2014 (Relegation)