Sport Picks
FC Ararat vs Tallinna FC Zapoos
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-3, with FC Ararat advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tallinna FC Zapoos come out ahead of FC Ararat on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Tallinna FC Zapoos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Ararat, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna FC Zapoos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Ararat | Tallinna FC Zapoos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 18 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.8 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.20 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 22, 2017 Estonian Cup
FC Ararat vs Tallinna FC Zapoos
5:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Ararat 34 / 100
Tallinna FC Zapoos 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Ararat Tallinna FC Zapoos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.
FC Ararat found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Tallinna FC Zapoos has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.
FC Ararat went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Ararat VS Tallinna FC Zapoos
2.2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.8 Goals Conceded 5
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 88%
80% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Ararat
(Home) 28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0 FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3 FC Ararat
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3 Vastseliina Tannem
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
: FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6 FC Ararat
Page 1 of 6
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3 Vastseliina Tannem
16 Jun
FC Ararat
4 : 5 Igiliikur
22 Jun
FC Ararat
5 : 3 Tallinna FC Zapoos
08 Nov
FC Ararat
0 : 4 Flora U19
24 Oct
FC Ararat
1 : 4 FC Alliance
Page 1 of 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos
(Away) 28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0 FC Hell Hunt
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0 Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 4
28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0 Tallinna FC Zapoos
30 Oct
Hiiumaa
2 : 3 Tallinna FC Zapoos
14 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 5 Tallinna FC Zapoos
14 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
13 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Narva6
Maardu Linnameeskond1
TBD-
Pohja-Sakala-
Legion-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia Tallinn III-
JK Poseidon-
TBD-
Kose1
Raasiku Joker10
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
Pirita1
Rakvere5
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
Ambla-
Tallinna Depoo-
TBD-
FCP Parnu1
Ganvix Turi4
Anija7
Puhkus Mehhikos0
Elbato1
Lihula JK7
Castovanni Eagles-
TBD-
FCI Tallinn II0
FCI Tallinn7
Kalju13
Viimsi JK 20
TBD-
Koeru-
Kohtla-Nomme3
Soccernet1
TBD-
Lelle-
FC Tartu3
Eston Villa1
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev III-
Santos Tartu-
TBD-
JK Poseidon II1
Paide Linnameeskond II12
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve7
Rakvere II0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool2
Saue JK Laagri10
Flora U195
Vastseliina Tannem0
Raplamaa0
Tartu JK Welco1
Paide Linnameeskond27
FC Hiiu United0
Imavere Forss1
Jogeva4
Sillamae Kalev-
TBD-
Nomme Utd0
Levadia3
Flora Tallinn U2110
Rumori Calcio II0
TBD-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II-
Jogeva Wolves5
Odratakkel1
TBD-
Viimsi JK-
Zenit Tallinn-
TBD-
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Otepaa6
Jarva-Jaani18
JK 32. keskkool2
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna-
Maardu United-
TBD-
TBD-
Valga Warrior-
Tartu Ulikool1
Viimsi Lovid0
Tallinna Wolves0
TransferWise2
Kohila-
TBD-
Oismae Torm2
Jogeva Wolves II3
Tammeka Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Tulevik-
Kuressaare-
TBD-
FC Lootos Polva1
Kadrina SK Moe4
Loo JK-
TBD-
Navi Vutiselts2
Rada Kuusalu4
Kadakas7
Raudteetoolised2
TBD-
Rapla Lokomotiiv-
Molycorp Silmet2
Igiliikur0
TBD-
Rumori Calcio-
Elva-
TBD-
Tallinna FC Zapoos3
FC Ararat5
SK Taaksi1
Vaatsa Vald0
Tallinn Piraaja1
Maardu Aliens2
Narva United-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
Tammeka Tartu II6
Olympic Tallinn1
Helios1
Flora17
1/32-finals
Narva8
Pohja-Sakala0
Legion0
Levadia Tallinn III3
JK Poseidon2
Raasiku Joker0
Tallinna Kalev0
Rakvere1
Laanemaa Haapsalu4
Ambla1
Tallinna Depoo1
Ganvix Turi12
Anija5
Lihula JK1
Castovanni Eagles0
FCI Tallinn4
Kalju1
Koeru0
Kohtla-Nomme2
Lelle3
FC Tartu5
Tallinna Kalev III1
Santos Tartu0
Paide Linnameeskond II3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Saue JK Laagri0
Flora U190
Tartu JK Welco2
Paide Linnameeskond7
Jogeva3
Sillamae Kalev1
Levadia2
Flora Tallinn U218
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II0
Jogeva Wolves1
Viimsi JK6
Zenit Tallinn5
Otepaa2
Jarva-Jaani1
Pohja-Tallinna4
Maardu United10
Valga Warrior0
Tartu Ulikool2
TransferWise3
Kohila3
Jogeva Wolves II0
Tammeka Tartu0
Tulevik1
Kuressaare12
Kadrina SK Moe0
Loo JK1
Rada Kuusalu2
Kadakas2
Rapla Lokomotiiv1
Molycorp Silmet0
Rumori Calcio6
Elva8
FC Ararat0
SK Taaksi1
Maardu Aliens6
Narva United2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Tammeka Tartu II0
Flora7
1/16-finals
Narva9
Levadia Tallinn III2
JK Poseidon0
Rakvere4
Laanemaa Haapsalu2
Ganvix Turi1
Anija0
FCI Tallinn16
Kalju8
Lelle0
FC Tartu0
Paide Linnameeskond II11
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve5
Tartu JK Welco0
Paide Linnameeskond1
Levadia3
Flora Tallinn U212
Viimsi JK0
Zenit Tallinn1
Pohja-Tallinna5
Maardu United5
TransferWise4
Kohila0
Tulevik8
Kuressaare9
Rada Kuusalu1
Kadakas2
Rumori Calcio3
Elva3
Maardu Aliens0
Narva United0
Flora8
1/8-finals
Narva2
Rakvere0
Laanemaa Haapsalu1
FCI Tallinn7
Kalju2
Paide Linnameeskond II1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Levadia7
Flora Tallinn U213
Pohja-Tallinna0
Maardu United-
Tulevik-
Kuressaare6
Rumori Calcio0
Elva0
Flora2
Quarter-finals
Narva6
FCI Tallinn0
Kalju0
Levadia1
Flora Tallinn U217
Tulevik3
Kuressaare0
Flora7
Semi-finals
Narva0
Levadia5
Flora Tallinn U213
Flora9
Final
Levadia1
Flora0
