Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ararat W vs Tabasalu W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Silina E.
20' Event
Poora K.
43' Event
Salei A.

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu W in this Meistriliiga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tabasalu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ararat W
15%
Draws
85%
Tabasalu W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Tabasalu W have won more games recently than FC Ararat W.
  • Win probability leans FC Ararat W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Ararat W Clean Sheet 13%
Tabasalu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ararat W Tabasalu W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W
0:0
Jun 7, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Tabasalu W
2:3
Sep 28, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ararat W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghazaryan L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uzjukina D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Tabasalu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silina E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poora K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat W 84 / 100
Tabasalu W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ararat W Tabasalu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ararat W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tabasalu W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Ararat W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (23 games).

Tabasalu W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ararat W VS Tabasalu W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
13% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ararat W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tabasalu W
:
FC Ararat W
20 Sept
FC Ararat W
:
Tammeka Tartu W
17 Sept
Elva W
:
FC Ararat W
13 Sept
Saku Sporting W
:
FC Ararat W
10 Sept
Flora W
:
FC Ararat W
Page 1 of 6

Tabasalu W

(Away)
15 Nov
Tabasalu W
1 : 5
Elva W
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
05 Nov
Tabasalu W
3 : 4
Saku Sporting W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
15 Oct
Viimsi JK W
2 : 1
Tabasalu W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)