Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Arlanda vs Gefle

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen, Märsta
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Giordano Eriksson I.
63' Event
Bergstedt O.
66'
Sub
Rehman S. In: Strangborn F.
Out: Rehman S.

AI Match Summary

Gefle in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gefle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
FC Arlanda
15%
Draws
32%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Arlanda lately — more wins on the board than Gefle.
  • FC Arlanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 20%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Gefle
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.89 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Gefle
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Gefle
2:0
Jun 2, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs FC Arlanda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergstedt O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strangborn F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahirovic A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 85 / 100
Gefle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Arlanda scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Gefle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Arlanda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Gefle
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arlanda

(Home)
09 Aug
FC Arlanda
0 : 0
Pitea
03 Aug
Hammarby TFF
5 : 1
FC Arlanda
25 Jul
FC Arlanda
6 : 1
Haninge
27 Jun
FC Arlanda
1 : 0
Karlstad
23 Jun
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

Gefle

(Away)
08 Aug
IFK Stocksund
5 : 0
Gefle
01 Aug
Pitea
0 : 2
Gefle
27 Jun
Gefle
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
18 Jun
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
13 Jun
Karlstad
2 : 0
Gefle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby TFF 16 11 3 2 44:13 36
2 Karlstad 16 11 3 2 28:11 36
3 FC Stockholm Internazionale 16 9 3 4 32:16 30
4 FC Arlanda 16 8 6 2 24:15 30
5 Enkopings SK 16 9 1 6 27:26 28
6 AFC Eskilstuna 16 7 4 5 27:25 25
7 FBK Karlstad 16 7 4 5 24:23 25
8 Karlbergs 16 6 3 7 26:25 21
9 Assyriska FF 16 5 5 6 27:29 20
10 Vasalund 16 5 4 7 23:31 19
11 Gefle 16 5 2 9 19:34 17
12 Umea FC 16 4 4 8 21:28 16
13 FC Jarfalla 16 4 3 9 22:35 15
14 Sollentuna 16 2 8 6 13:23 14
15 IFK Stocksund 16 2 5 9 33:38 11
16 Pitea 16 2 4 10 16:34 10
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)