Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Arlanda vs Hammarby TFF

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen, Märsta
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kleist L.
20' Event
Antholm I.
33' Event
Rydz S.

AI Match Summary

FC Arlanda in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Arlanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Arlanda
20%
Draws
29%
Hammarby TFF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Arlanda lately — more wins on the board than Hammarby TFF.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on FC Arlanda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 15%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Hammarby TFF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.86 2
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Hammarby TFF
4:2
Aug 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FC Arlanda
5:1
Mar 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Hammarby TFF vs FC Arlanda
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FC Arlanda
3:1
Jun 8, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Hammarby TFF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kleist L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Antholm I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Hammarby TFF Compare

Top Goalscorer Elezaj G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gibson W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 84 / 100
Hammarby TFF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Hammarby TFF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Arlanda scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hammarby TFF conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Arlanda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Hammarby TFF
2.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arlanda

(Home)
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
FC Arlanda
1 : 2
Umea FC
29 Aug
IFK Stocksund
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

Hammarby TFF

(Away)
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
05 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 0
Hammarby TFF
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 23 12 6 5 48:22 42
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)