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FC Arlanda vs Karlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Nilsson King E.
23'
Sub
Nilsson King E. In: Jatta N.
Out: Nilsson King E.
46'
Sub
Gustafsson K. In: Modou F.
Out: Gustafsson K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FC Arlanda and Karlstad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Arlanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Arlanda
39%
Draws
31%
Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Arlanda haven't matched Karlstad's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Karlstad have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 16%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Karlstad
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Karlstad
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Karlstad
3:5
May 29, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs FC Arlanda
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 30 / 100
Karlstad 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Karlstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Arlanda scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FC Arlanda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Karlstad conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Karlstad
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368