Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Arlanda vs Pitea

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen, Märsta
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Rydz S. In: Drugge J.
Out: Rydz S.
60'
Sub
Rehman S. In: Carlsson J.
Out: Rehman S.
66'
Sub
Berglund C. In: Naslund H.
Out: Berglund C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FC Arlanda and Pitea finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FC Arlanda
30%
Draws
12%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Arlanda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Arlanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 20%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Pitea
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Pitea
0:0
May 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs FC Arlanda
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 85 / 100
Pitea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Arlanda found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Pitea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Arlanda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Pitea
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arlanda

(Home)
09 Aug
FC Arlanda
0 : 0
Pitea
03 Aug
Hammarby TFF
5 : 1
FC Arlanda
25 Jul
FC Arlanda
6 : 1
Haninge
27 Jun
FC Arlanda
1 : 0
Karlstad
23 Jun
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

Pitea

(Away)
09 Aug
FC Arlanda
0 : 0
Pitea
01 Aug
Pitea
0 : 2
Gefle
24 Jun
Karlbergs
3 : 1
Pitea
21 Jun
Pitea
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
12 Jun
Umea FC
2 : 0
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby TFF 16 11 3 2 44:13 36
2 Karlstad 16 11 3 2 28:11 36
3 FC Stockholm Internazionale 16 9 3 4 32:16 30
4 FC Arlanda 16 8 6 2 24:15 30
5 Enkopings SK 16 9 1 6 27:26 28
6 AFC Eskilstuna 16 7 4 5 27:25 25
7 FBK Karlstad 16 7 4 5 24:23 25
8 Karlbergs 16 6 3 7 26:25 21
9 Assyriska FF 16 5 5 6 27:29 20
10 Vasalund 16 5 4 7 23:31 19
11 Gefle 16 5 2 9 19:34 17
12 Umea FC 16 4 4 8 21:28 16
13 FC Jarfalla 16 4 3 9 22:35 15
14 Sollentuna 16 2 8 6 13:23 14
15 IFK Stocksund 16 2 5 9 33:38 11
16 Pitea 16 2 4 10 16:34 10
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)