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FC Arlanda vs Pitea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen, Märsta
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Rydz S. In: Drugge J.
Out: Rydz S.
60'
Sub
Rehman S. In: Carlsson J.
Out: Rehman S.
66'
Sub
Berglund C. In: Naslund H.
Out: Berglund C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FC Arlanda and Pitea finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FC Arlanda
15%
Draws
31%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Arlanda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Arlanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 17%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Pitea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Pitea
0:0
May 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs FC Arlanda
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 84 / 100
Pitea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Arlanda found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Pitea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Arlanda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Pitea
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arlanda

(Home)
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
27 Sept
FC Arlanda
2 : 0
Enkopings SK
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

Pitea

(Away)
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)