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FC Arlanda vs Upsala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Upsala in this Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Upsala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Arlanda
15%
Draws
45%
Upsala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Upsala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Arlanda lately — more wins on the board than Upsala.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FC Arlanda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Upsala have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 20%
Upsala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Upsala
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.94 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Arlanda vs Upsala
0:1
Jun 12, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Upsala vs FC Arlanda
1:1
Jun 14, 2017 Svenska Cupen
FC Arlanda vs Upsala
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 85 / 100
Upsala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Upsala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Arlanda's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Upsala has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

FC Arlanda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arlanda

(Home)
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
FC Arlanda
1 : 2
Umea FC
29 Aug
IFK Stocksund
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
23 Aug
FC Arlanda
5 : 1
FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 7

Upsala

(Away)
27 Nov
Upsala
4 : 2
Enkopings SK
20 Nov
Kvarnsveden
1 : 1
Upsala
13 Nov
Upsala
3 : 1
Sandvikens AIK
06 Nov
Skiljebo
6 : 0
Upsala
23 Oct
FC Arlanda
0 : 1
Upsala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 28 23 5 0 90:23 74
2 Karlbergs 28 21 2 5 83:36 65
3 IFK Stocksund 28 17 1 10 75:53 52
4 Skiljebo 28 14 5 9 61:49 47
5 Osteraker IFK 28 14 2 12 51:42 44
6 Lidingo IFK 28 12 7 9 56:47 43
7 FC Jarfalla 28 13 4 11 58:53 43
8 Enskede 28 11 8 9 45:42 41
9 Kungsangen 28 9 8 11 37:50 35
10 Gute 28 10 1 17 41:71 31
11 Sandvikens AIK 28 9 3 16 47:68 30
12 Kvarnsveden 28 8 5 15 34:51 29
13 Upsala 28 7 8 13 42:61 29
14 Enkopings SK 28 6 9 13 39:46 27
15 FC Arlanda 28 0 4 24 19:86 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2021 (Relegation)