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FC Asgabat vs Sagadam

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagadam in this Yokary Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sagadam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Asgabat
6%
Draws
4%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Asgabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sagadam lately — more wins on the board than FC Asgabat.
  • Win probability leans FC Asgabat's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sagadam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 20%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Asgabat Sagadam
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:1
May 3, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Asgabat 85 / 100
Sagadam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Asgabat Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Asgabat found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Sagadam let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sagadam has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Asgabat VS Sagadam
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Asgabat

(Home)
20 Jun
Ahal
4 : 3
FC Asgabat
13 Jun
FC Asgabat
1 : 7
Arkadag
07 Jun
Kopetdag Asgabat
3 : 1
FC Asgabat
30 May
FC Asgabat
5 : 1
Merw
24 May
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Nebitci
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Sagadam

(Away)
20 Jun
Merw
2 : 0
Sagadam
13 Jun
Sagadam
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
07 Jun
Ahal
1 : 0
Sagadam
30 May
Sagadam
1 : 4
Arkadag
23 May
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 0
Sagadam
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