Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Asgabat vs Sagadam

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sagadam in this Yokary Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sagadam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Asgabat
20%
Draws
44%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sagadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sagadam lately — more wins on the board than FC Asgabat.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 12%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Asgabat Sagadam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:0
May 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Asgabat 29 / 100
Sagadam 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Asgabat Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Asgabat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Asgabat scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sagadam conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

FC Asgabat has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Asgabat VS Sagadam
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Asgabat

(Home)
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
26 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
15 Aug
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Sagadam
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Sagadam

(Away)
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
15 Aug
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Sagadam
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