Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Asgabat vs Sagadam

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between FC Asgabat and Sagadam finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Asgabat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FC Asgabat
20%
Draws
60%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sagadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sagadam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Asgabat's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 12%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Asgabat Sagadam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:0
May 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs FC Asgabat
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Asgabat 38 / 100
Sagadam 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Asgabat Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Asgabat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Asgabat found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Sagadam let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sagadam registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Asgabat VS Sagadam
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Asgabat

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
3 : 4
Ahal
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
26 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
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Sagadam

(Away)
19 Sept
Sagadam
0 : 2
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
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