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FC Astana 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Agapov M.
15' Event
Imangazeev B.
25' Event
Konlimkos B.

AI Match Summary

Akzhayik Uralsk in this First Division 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akzhayik Uralsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Astana 2
6%
Draws
4%
Akzhayik Uralsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Astana 2 have won more games recently than Akzhayik Uralsk.
  • Model gives FC Astana 2 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Akzhayik Uralsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk
0:5
Jun 1, 2023 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs FC Astana 2
3:0
Jul 25, 2020 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs FC Astana 2
0:0
Apr 25, 2020 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Akzhayik Uralsk
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs FC Astana 2
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Agapov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Imangazeev B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 85 / 100
Akzhayik Uralsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Akzhayik Uralsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akzhayik Uralsk has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

FC Astana 2's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

FC Astana 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Akzhayik Uralsk
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yelimay Semey28244076:1776
2Turan28223385:2769
3Zhenis28193664:3360
4Akzhayik Uralsk28173863:2954
5FK Kyran281621055:5750
6Kairat Almaty 2281051358:5335
7Khan Tengri281051339:3835
8Arys281031540:6233
9Jas Qyran28951450:5332
10Turkistan28951447:5832
11Taraz28941547:5731
12FC Ekibastuz28871346:6431
13Aktobe 228721937:7723
14Akademiya Ontustik28561746:7521
15FC Astana 228612132:8519