Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First League

FC Astana 2

1 - 0

Jaiyq

Our Tip

Match Events

74'

Tokenov T.

Assist: Valikhan R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Astana 2 and Jaiyq finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

FC Astana 2

Draws

Jaiyq

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Astana 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans FC Astana 2's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 18%

Jaiyq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Astana 2	Jaiyq
Matches Played	29	15
Wins	12	6
Draws	2	1
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	2.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 First League

FC Astana 2 vs Jaiyq

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Apr 16, 2026 First League

Jaiyq vs FC Astana 2

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokenov T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Jaiyq Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 85 / 100

Jaiyq 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Astana 2 Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Jaiyq let in goals in 67% of their last 15 matches.

FC Astana 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jaiyq lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Jaiyq

2.5 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 50%

88% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kairat Almaty 2	14	12	2	0	50:7	38
2	Shakhter Karagandy	14	12	1	1	38:5	37
3	Turan	14	9	1	4	29:11	28
4	FC Astana 2	14	7	2	5	25:22	23
5	Akademiya Ontustik	14	7	2	5	22:19	23
6	Jaiyq	14	6	1	7	11:18	19
7	Taraz	14	5	2	7	20:20	17
8	Khan Tengri	14	5	2	7	18:26	17
9	FC Ekibastuz	14	4	5	5	17:26	17
10	Aktobe 2	14	4	5	5	27:40	17
11	Kaspij Aktau 2	14	4	3	7	16:28	15
12	Arys	14	3	1	10	15:32	10
13	Yelimay Semey 2	14	2	3	9	11:27	9
14	Tobol 2	14	1	4	9	23:41	7