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FC Astana 2 vs Jaiyq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Tokenov T.
Assist: Valikhan R.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Astana 2 and Jaiyq finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
FC Astana 2
30%
Draws
29%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • FC Astana 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Jaiyq
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.72 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Jaiyq
1:0
Apr 16, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs FC Astana 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokenov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jaiyq Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 30 / 100
Jaiyq 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Jaiyq let in goals in 60% of their last 25 matches.

FC Astana 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Jaiyq
2 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

Jaiyq

(Away)
09 Oct
Jaiyq
1 : 1
Turan
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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